Achieving a permanent ceasefire with Iran is difficult due to the cyclical nature of escalation and the underlying power struggles between conflicting parties.

A thesis for why the pathway to a permanent ceasefire with Iran remains elusive, through the framework of zero-sum logic: "What follows is not necessarily continuous war, but recurrent escalation: blockade followed by countermeasures, interdiction followed by retaliation, each step justified by the last and narrowing the space for restraint. External actors may push for de-escalation, and markets may demand stability, but ... https://nic.babarskis.blog/2026/04/19/a-thesis-for-why-the.html

A thesis for why the pathway to a permanent ceasefire with Iran remains elusive, through the framework of zero-sum logic: "What follows is not necessarily continuous war, but recurrent escalation: blockade followed by countermeasures, interdiction followed by retaliation, each step justified by the last and narrowing the space for restraint. External actors may push for de-escalation, and markets may demand stability, but those pressures cannot override the underlying structure—the struggle over relative power"