← All reports

Nonviolent movements are more likely to succeed in contexts with political space, elite division, and information flow.

PoliticsApr 19, 2026score 0.482 posts · 2 replies across 2 instances
The thread discusses the conditions under which nonviolent movements succeed, emphasizing the role of political space, elite division, information flow, and the impact of repression in controlled media environments. It also mentions the importance of elite defections, external pressure, and latent threats in nonviolent victories.

Claims

Nonviolent movements are more likely to succeed in contexts with political space, elite division, and information flow.
Parent: Nonviolent MovementsEntity: Success of Nonviolent MovementsImpact: positiveDate: Apr 19, 2026Target: Success of Nonviolent Movements
Repression is more effective in regimes where media is controlled and fear is total, as it does not backfire in such environments.
Parent: RepressionEntity: Effectiveness of RepressionImpact: negativeDate: Apr 19, 2026Target: Effectiveness of Repression

Source posts

@[email protected]
count. Scholars like Stathis Kalyvas argue nonviolence works mainly where there is some political space, elite division, and information flow. The hardest regimes eliminate all three. Nonviolent theory assumes repression “backfires.” But that depends on visibility. Where media is controlled and fear is total, repression does not backfire, it works. Historian Adam Roberts notes many “nonviolent victories” also relied on elite defections, external pressure, or latent …
0 boosts · 0 favs · 1 replies · Apr 19, 2026
@[email protected]
works mainly where there is some political space, elite division, and information flow. The hardest regimes eliminate all three. Nonviolent theory assumes repression “backfires.” But that depends on visibility. Where media is controlled and fear is total, repression does not backfire, it works. Historian Adam Roberts notes many “nonviolent victories” also relied on elite defections, external pressure, or latent threats of violence. Noncooperation alone rarely explains outcomes. The “3.5% …
0 boosts · 0 favs · 1 replies · Apr 19, 2026