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The Federal Reserve is less likely to raise interest rates in October due to lower-than-expected PCE inflation data.

EconomicsPoliticsInflationSep 30, 2026score 0.172 posts · 0 replies across 1 instances
The posts report that US inflation (PCE) for August was lower than expected, with core PCE falling to 3.0%. This data, combined with a GDP upward revision, suggests a lower probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in October.

Claims

The Federal Reserve is less likely to raise interest rates in October due to lower-than-expected PCE inflation data.
Parent: Monetary PolicyEntity: Federal ReserveSub-entity: Interest ratesImpact: neutralDate: Sep 30, 2026Target: Federal Reserve interest rate hike in October

Source posts

@[email protected]
La inflación PCE de agosto en EEUU bajó al 3,4% interanual, por debajo del 3,7% esperado. El PCE subyacente cayó al 3,0% vs 3,3% previsto. Los datos de julio se revisaron a la baja 30 puntos básicos. Bajan las chances de suba de tasas en octubre.
0 boosts · 0 favs · 0 replies · Sep 30, 2026
@[email protected]
Inflación más débil en EE.UU. baja las chances de suba de la Fed: el PCE core de agosto cayó al 3,0% interanual vs. 3,3% esperado, y el PCE general quedó en 3,4% vs. 3,7% previsto. El PIB del segundo trimestre se revisó al alza a 2,2% desde 1,5%. Kalshi ahora le da 65% de probabilidad a que la Fed no suba en octubre.
0 boosts · 0 favs · 0 replies · Sep 30, 2026