The SNP is expected to dominate the constituencies but is unlikely to secure enough seats to achieve an overall majority.

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 STATE OF THE PARTIES AT 15:00: The SNP is dominating the constituencies, as they always do. They need to gain 2 constituencies to win a majority (I strongly doubt they'll win any list seats at all). That doesn't seem likely at this stage, but it's still too early to call. #ukpoli #Election2026 #ScottishParliament

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 STATE OF THE PARTIES AT 15:00: One constituency declared so far, with Plaid Cymru and Reform currently leading. There's no chance of any party winning an overall majority thanks to the new electoral system. Labour could still be in government, but as the junior coalition partner to Plaid Cymru. #ukpoli #Election2026 #Etholiad2026 #Senedd

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 STATE OF THE PARTIES AT 16:00: The SNP will fall short of an overall majority, as they're simply not gaining the constituencies that they need. #ukpoli #Election2026 #ScottishParliament

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 STATE OF THE PARTIES AT 17:00: Only a handful of constituencies left to declare, and then we can start getting the regional list results. The SNP will finish as the largest party, but will finish a few seats short of an overall majority. #ukpoli #Election2026 #ScottishParliament